Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 17, 05:35 UTC

cut short after 2.5h, published as a partial · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

interim · 2.54h elapsed · started 2026-10-17T02:37:24.479Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    4.97
    mk+10s bps
    —
    spread bps
    0.88
    fills/hr
    5.9
    strict fills
    15
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    76
    capture $
    0.745
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $1,172,984
    15% clip cap
    $29743
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    0.02
    mk+10s bps
    -1.75
    spread bps
    2.88
    fills/hr
    52.1
    strict fills
    132
    marginal
    3
    replaces
    223
    capture $
    0.028
    inv now $
    -100
    mkt $/hr
    $131,560
    15% clip cap
    $379
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    2.60
    mk+10s bps
    -5.65
    spread bps
    2.34
    fills/hr
    9.9
    strict fills
    25
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    107
    capture $
    0.650
    inv now $
    -300
    mkt $/hr
    $17,342
    15% clip cap
    $264
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.25
    mk+10s bps
    0.22
    spread bps
    0.29
    fills/hr
    26.8
    strict fills
    68
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    79
    capture $
    0.167
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $291,228
    15% clip cap
    $1629
  • SUI
    capture bps
    11.24
    mk+10s bps
    -6.79
    spread bps
    2.06
    fills/hr
    13.4
    strict fills
    34
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    320
    capture $
    3.821
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $25,010
    15% clip cap
    $280
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    3.07
    mk+10s bps
    -0.11
    spread bps
    1.18
    fills/hr
    43.8
    strict fills
    111
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    455
    capture $
    3.412
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $120,562
    15% clip cap
    $413
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.88 | 15 | 0 | 5.9 | 76 | 0.745 | 4.97 | — | 300 | $1,172,984 | $29743 |
| COIN ⏰ | 2.88 | 132 | 3 | 52.1 | 223 | 0.028 | 0.02 | -1.75 | -100 | $131,560 | $379 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 2.34 | 25 | 0 | 9.9 | 107 | 0.650 | 2.60 | -5.65 | -300 | $17,342 | $264 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 0.29 | 68 | 2 | 26.8 | 79 | 0.167 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0 | $291,228 | $1629 |
| SUI | 2.06 | 34 | 0 | 13.4 | 320 | 3.821 | 11.24 | -6.79 | 200 | $25,010 | $280 |
| NEAR | 1.18 | 111 | 0 | 43.8 | 455 | 3.412 | 3.07 | -0.11 | 300 | $120,562 | $413 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 0 · ORCL 0 · AAPL 0).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 5hyperliquid 0local 10
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 135
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 25
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 70
  • SUI
    binance 34hyperliquid 0local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 111hyperliquid 0local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • WULF
    spread bps
    298.97
    ratio
    40.29
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    7.42
  • SHEIN
    spread bps
    50.19
    ratio
    31.46
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.60
  • CLSK
    spread bps
    109.48
    ratio
    21.67
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    5.05
  • LUNR
    spread bps
    62.75
    ratio
    11.73
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    5.35
  • BE
    spread bps
    5.91
    ratio
    10.13
    trades/min
    1.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.58
  • USO
    spread bps
    32.06
    ratio
    7.91
    trades/min
    1.8
    vol1s bps
    4.05
  • ANSEM
    spread bps
    86.54
    ratio
    7.79
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    11.11
  • QBTS
    spread bps
    59.93
    ratio
    7.14
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    8.40
  • SLV
    spread bps
    14.77
    ratio
    7.04
    trades/min
    0.5 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    2.10
  • ORCL
    spread bps
    3.12
    ratio
    5.63
    trades/min
    0.7 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.55
  • CRWV
    spread bps
    4.91
    ratio
    5.32
    trades/min
    0.9 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.92
  • RGTI
    spread bps
    70.16
    ratio
    4.87
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    14.40
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WULF | 298.97 | 7.42 | 40.29 | 0.1 (thin) |
| SHEIN | 50.19 | 1.60 | 31.46 | 0.1 (thin) |
| CLSK | 109.48 | 5.05 | 21.67 | 0.1 (thin) |
| LUNR | 62.75 | 5.35 | 11.73 | 0.2 (thin) |
| BE | 5.91 | 0.58 | 10.13 | 1.2 (thin) |
| USO | 32.06 | 4.05 | 7.91 | 1.8 |
| ANSEM | 86.54 | 11.11 | 7.79 | 0.0 (thin) |
| QBTS | 59.93 | 8.40 | 7.14 | 0.0 (thin) |
| SLV | 14.77 | 2.10 | 7.04 | 0.5 (thin) |
| ORCL | 3.12 | 0.55 | 5.63 | 0.7 (thin) |
| CRWV | 4.91 | 0.92 | 5.32 | 0.9 (thin) |
| RGTI | 70.16 | 14.40 | 4.87 | 0.1 (thin) |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day. Interim — numbers move until the run completes.