Quoting study · Oct 15, 13:03 UTC
full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet
Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report
FINAL · 6.00h elapsed · started 2026-10-15T07:03:47.287Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300
NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).
- BTC
- capture bps
- 0.35
- mk+10s bps
- -0.76
- spread bps
- 1.50
- fills/hr
- 71.5
- strict fills
- 429
- marginal
- 0
- replaces
- 967
- capture $
- 1.508
- inv now $
- 300
- mkt $/hr
- $4,239,238
- 15% clip cap
- $8894
- COINsession gate
- capture bps
- -0.17
- mk+10s bps
- -0.75
- spread bps
- 5.34
- fills/hr
- 88.2
- strict fills
- 529
- marginal
- 5
- replaces
- 1135
- capture $
- -0.913
- inv now $
- 0
- mkt $/hr
- $124,761
- 15% clip cap
- $212
- ORCLsession gate
- capture bps
- 0.46
- mk+10s bps
- -0.86
- spread bps
- 2.34
- fills/hr
- 28.5
- strict fills
- 171
- marginal
- 0
- replaces
- 828
- capture $
- 0.779
- inv now $
- 0
- mkt $/hr
- $68,629
- 15% clip cap
- $361
- AAPLsession gate
- capture bps
- 0.69
- mk+10s bps
- 0.41
- spread bps
- 0.87
- fills/hr
- 364.2
- strict fills
- 2185
- marginal
- 24
- replaces
- 2397
- capture $
- 15.151
- inv now $
- 0
- mkt $/hr
- $1,639,452
- 15% clip cap
- $675
- SUI
- capture bps
- -4.49
- mk+10s bps
- -5.04
- spread bps
- 3.40
- fills/hr
- 37.5
- strict fills
- 225
- marginal
- 0
- replaces
- 1085
- capture $
- -10.102
- inv now $
- 300
- mkt $/hr
- $28,650
- 15% clip cap
- $115
- NEAR
- capture bps
- -1.07
- mk+10s bps
- -1.10
- spread bps
- 3.06
- fills/hr
- 84.8
- strict fills
- 509
- marginal
- 2
- replaces
- 1467
- capture $
- -5.466
- inv now $
- -300
- mkt $/hr
- $121,002
- 15% clip cap
- $214
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | BTC | 1.50 | 429 | 0 | 71.5 | 967 | 1.508 | 0.35 | -0.76 | 300 | $4,239,238 | $8894 | | COIN ⏰ | 5.34 | 529 | 5 | 88.2 | 1135 | -0.913 | -0.17 | -0.75 | 0 | $124,761 | $212 | | ORCL ⏰ | 2.34 | 171 | 0 | 28.5 | 828 | 0.779 | 0.46 | -0.86 | 0 | $68,629 | $361 | | AAPL ⏰ | 0.87 | 2185 | 24 | 364.2 | 2397 | 15.151 | 0.69 | 0.41 | 0 | $1,639,452 | $675 | | SUI | 3.40 | 225 | 0 | 37.5 | 1085 | -10.102 | -4.49 | -5.04 | 300 | $28,650 | $115 | | NEAR | 3.06 | 509 | 2 | 84.8 | 1467 | -5.466 | -1.07 | -1.10 | -300 | $121,002 | $214 |
⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 1 · ORCL 1 · AAPL 1).
Fair-value source mix (fills by source)
- BTCbinance 418hyperliquid 0local 11
- COINbinance 0hyperliquid 0local 534
- ORCLbinance 0hyperliquid 0local 171
- AAPLbinance 0hyperliquid 0local 2209
- SUIbinance 225hyperliquid 0local 0
- NEARbinance 511hyperliquid 0local 0
Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)
- WULF
- spread bps
- 136.79
- ratio
- 104.40
- trades/min
- 0.4 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 1.31
- AI
- spread bps
- 199.84
- ratio
- 74.91
- trades/min
- 0.3 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 2.67
- RGTI
- spread bps
- 42.57
- ratio
- 13.05
- trades/min
- 0.1 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 3.26
- LUNR
- spread bps
- 68.39
- ratio
- 11.29
- trades/min
- 0.1 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 6.06
- SMCI
- spread bps
- 14.04
- ratio
- 9.19
- trades/min
- 0.0 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 1.53
- USAR
- spread bps
- 13.79
- ratio
- 8.56
- trades/min
- 0.2 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 1.61
- QBTS
- spread bps
- 43.38
- ratio
- 7.25
- trades/min
- 0.0 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 5.99
- SOFI
- spread bps
- 9.95
- ratio
- 6.66
- trades/min
- 0.1 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 1.49
- BE
- spread bps
- 10.83
- ratio
- 5.79
- trades/min
- 0.4 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 1.87
- SGOV
- spread bps
- 4.98
- ratio
- 5.69
- trades/min
- 0.1 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 0.87
- ANSEM
- spread bps
- 145.22
- ratio
- 5.16
- trades/min
- 0.0 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 28.16
- ORCL
- spread bps
- 5.47
- ratio
- 5.09
- trades/min
- 2.4
- vol1s bps
- 1.07
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min | |---|---|---|---|---| | WULF | 136.79 | 1.31 | 104.40 | 0.4 (thin) | | AI | 199.84 | 2.67 | 74.91 | 0.3 (thin) | | RGTI | 42.57 | 3.26 | 13.05 | 0.1 (thin) | | LUNR | 68.39 | 6.06 | 11.29 | 0.1 (thin) | | SMCI | 14.04 | 1.53 | 9.19 | 0.0 (thin) | | USAR | 13.79 | 1.61 | 8.56 | 0.2 (thin) | | QBTS | 43.38 | 5.99 | 7.25 | 0.0 (thin) | | SOFI | 9.95 | 1.49 | 6.66 | 0.1 (thin) | | BE | 10.83 | 1.87 | 5.79 | 0.4 (thin) | | SGOV | 4.98 | 0.87 | 5.69 | 0.1 (thin) | | ANSEM | 145.22 | 28.16 | 5.16 | 0.0 (thin) | | ORCL | 5.47 | 1.07 | 5.09 | 2.4 |
Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.