Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 14, 12:10 UTC

full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

FINAL · 6.01h elapsed · started 2026-10-14T06:10:35.726Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    1.22
    mk+10s bps
    —
    spread bps
    0.51
    fills/hr
    43.5
    strict fills
    261
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    643
    capture $
    3.180
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $2,965,833
    15% clip cap
    $10237
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    0.83
    mk+10s bps
    -0.28
    spread bps
    2.75
    fills/hr
    64.9
    strict fills
    390
    marginal
    6
    replaces
    808
    capture $
    3.222
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $60,261
    15% clip cap
    $139
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.43
    mk+10s bps
    0.85
    spread bps
    4.92
    fills/hr
    47.0
    strict fills
    282
    marginal
    8
    replaces
    675
    capture $
    1.203
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $17,762
    15% clip cap
    $57
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.60
    mk+10s bps
    0.16
    spread bps
    0.58
    fills/hr
    238.9
    strict fills
    1435
    marginal
    19
    replaces
    1552
    capture $
    8.644
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $1,426,989
    15% clip cap
    $896
  • SUI
    capture bps
    6.01
    mk+10s bps
    -5.81
    spread bps
    2.73
    fills/hr
    7.2
    strict fills
    43
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    794
    capture $
    2.585
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $28,870
    15% clip cap
    $605
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    0.65
    mk+10s bps
    -1.22
    spread bps
    3.32
    fills/hr
    103.7
    strict fills
    623
    marginal
    6
    replaces
    1501
    capture $
    4.026
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $82,724
    15% clip cap
    $120
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.51 | 261 | 0 | 43.5 | 643 | 3.180 | 1.22 | — | 300 | $2,965,833 | $10237 |
| COIN ⏰ | 2.75 | 390 | 6 | 64.9 | 808 | 3.222 | 0.83 | -0.28 | 200 | $60,261 | $139 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 4.92 | 282 | 8 | 47.0 | 675 | 1.203 | 0.43 | 0.85 | 200 | $17,762 | $57 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 0.58 | 1435 | 19 | 238.9 | 1552 | 8.644 | 0.60 | 0.16 | 0 | $1,426,989 | $896 |
| SUI | 2.73 | 43 | 0 | 7.2 | 794 | 2.585 | 6.01 | -5.81 | 300 | $28,870 | $605 |
| NEAR | 3.32 | 623 | 6 | 103.7 | 1501 | 4.026 | 0.65 | -1.22 | 300 | $82,724 | $120 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 0 · ORCL 0 · AAPL 0).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 246hyperliquid 0local 15
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 396
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 290
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 1454
  • SUI
    binance 43hyperliquid 0local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 629hyperliquid 0local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • LUNR
    spread bps
    73.22
    ratio
    85.07
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.86
  • QBTS
    spread bps
    49.90
    ratio
    68.51
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.73
  • SGOV
    spread bps
    3.98
    ratio
    57.73
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.07
  • WULF
    spread bps
    133.40
    ratio
    48.04
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    2.78
  • USO
    spread bps
    9.81
    ratio
    11.25
    trades/min
    0.6 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.87
  • USAR
    spread bps
    12.39
    ratio
    9.98
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.24
  • AI
    spread bps
    335.42
    ratio
    8.40
    trades/min
    0.6 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    39.92
  • ORCL
    spread bps
    5.60
    ratio
    7.39
    trades/min
    2.2
    vol1s bps
    0.76
  • CRWV
    spread bps
    10.37
    ratio
    7.25
    trades/min
    0.3 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.43
  • IREN
    spread bps
    11.23
    ratio
    5.90
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.90
  • BABA
    spread bps
    9.70
    ratio
    5.86
    trades/min
    3.5
    vol1s bps
    1.65
  • MSFT
    spread bps
    2.38
    ratio
    5.15
    trades/min
    12.7
    vol1s bps
    0.46
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LUNR | 73.22 | 0.86 | 85.07 | 0.0 (thin) |
| QBTS | 49.90 | 0.73 | 68.51 | 0.0 (thin) |
| SGOV | 3.98 | 0.07 | 57.73 | 0.2 (thin) |
| WULF | 133.40 | 2.78 | 48.04 | 0.0 (thin) |
| USO | 9.81 | 0.87 | 11.25 | 0.6 (thin) |
| USAR | 12.39 | 1.24 | 9.98 | 0.1 (thin) |
| AI | 335.42 | 39.92 | 8.40 | 0.6 (thin) |
| ORCL | 5.60 | 0.76 | 7.39 | 2.2 |
| CRWV | 10.37 | 1.43 | 7.25 | 0.3 (thin) |
| IREN | 11.23 | 1.90 | 5.90 | 0.1 (thin) |
| BABA | 9.70 | 1.65 | 5.86 | 3.5 |
| MSFT | 2.38 | 0.46 | 5.15 | 12.7 |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.