Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 13, 23:44 UTC

full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

FINAL · 6.00h elapsed · started 2026-10-13T17:44:27.403Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    -0.07
    mk+10s bps
    -0.01
    spread bps
    1.18
    fills/hr
    19.5
    strict fills
    117
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    416
    capture $
    -0.076
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $2,477,277
    15% clip cap
    $19056
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    0.15
    mk+10s bps
    -0.90
    spread bps
    2.20
    fills/hr
    26.0
    strict fills
    156
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    288
    capture $
    0.239
    inv now $
    -200
    mkt $/hr
    $28,655
    15% clip cap
    $165
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.73
    mk+10s bps
    -0.18
    spread bps
    3.49
    fills/hr
    21.3
    strict fills
    128
    marginal
    4
    replaces
    217
    capture $
    0.932
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $17,490
    15% clip cap
    $123
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.56
    mk+10s bps
    0.59
    spread bps
    0.59
    fills/hr
    50.8
    strict fills
    305
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    335
    capture $
    1.704
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $231,043
    15% clip cap
    $682
  • SUI
    capture bps
    -0.77
    mk+10s bps
    -5.85
    spread bps
    3.25
    fills/hr
    12.8
    strict fills
    77
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    1003
    capture $
    -0.592
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $12,371
    15% clip cap
    $145
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    0.19
    mk+10s bps
    -2.07
    spread bps
    3.17
    fills/hr
    87.8
    strict fills
    527
    marginal
    4
    replaces
    1752
    capture $
    1.004
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $144,730
    15% clip cap
    $247
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1.18 | 117 | 0 | 19.5 | 416 | -0.076 | -0.07 | -0.01 | 300 | $2,477,277 | $19056 |
| COIN ⏰ | 2.20 | 156 | 2 | 26.0 | 288 | 0.239 | 0.15 | -0.90 | -200 | $28,655 | $165 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 3.49 | 128 | 4 | 21.3 | 217 | 0.932 | 0.73 | -0.18 | 200 | $17,490 | $123 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 0.59 | 305 | 2 | 50.8 | 335 | 1.704 | 0.56 | 0.59 | 100 | $231,043 | $682 |
| SUI | 3.25 | 77 | 0 | 12.8 | 1003 | -0.592 | -0.77 | -5.85 | 300 | $12,371 | $145 |
| NEAR | 3.17 | 527 | 4 | 87.8 | 1752 | 1.004 | 0.19 | -2.07 | 300 | $144,730 | $247 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 1 · ORCL 1 · AAPL 1).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 112hyperliquid 0local 5
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 158
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 132
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 307
  • SUI
    binance 74hyperliquid 3local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 529hyperliquid 2local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • OPENAI
    spread bps
    2.01
    ratio
    12.44
    trades/min
    181.5
    vol1s bps
    0.16
  • BABA
    spread bps
    4.52
    ratio
    10.36
    trades/min
    0.4 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.44
  • SGOV
    spread bps
    3.98
    ratio
    8.11
    trades/min
    0.4 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.49
  • CASHCAT
    spread bps
    18.37
    ratio
    7.77
    trades/min
    1.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    2.36
  • AI
    spread bps
    148.60
    ratio
    7.23
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    20.54
  • CRWV
    spread bps
    7.76
    ratio
    4.82
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.61
  • XAG
    spread bps
    1.69
    ratio
    4.18
    trades/min
    6.3
    vol1s bps
    0.40
  • INTC
    spread bps
    3.91
    ratio
    3.34
    trades/min
    2.1
    vol1s bps
    1.17
  • PONS
    spread bps
    9.77
    ratio
    3.33
    trades/min
    12.0
    vol1s bps
    2.93
  • MSFT
    spread bps
    3.47
    ratio
    3.18
    trades/min
    13.9
    vol1s bps
    1.09
  • CRCL
    spread bps
    3.44
    ratio
    3.14
    trades/min
    11.2
    vol1s bps
    1.09
  • TSM
    spread bps
    3.61
    ratio
    3.05
    trades/min
    1.3 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.18
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| OPENAI | 2.01 | 0.16 | 12.44 | 181.5 |
| BABA | 4.52 | 0.44 | 10.36 | 0.4 (thin) |
| SGOV | 3.98 | 0.49 | 8.11 | 0.4 (thin) |
| CASHCAT | 18.37 | 2.36 | 7.77 | 1.0 (thin) |
| AI | 148.60 | 20.54 | 7.23 | 0.2 (thin) |
| CRWV | 7.76 | 1.61 | 4.82 | 0.2 (thin) |
| XAG | 1.69 | 0.40 | 4.18 | 6.3 |
| INTC | 3.91 | 1.17 | 3.34 | 2.1 |
| PONS | 9.77 | 2.93 | 3.33 | 12.0 |
| MSFT | 3.47 | 1.09 | 3.18 | 13.9 |
| CRCL | 3.44 | 1.09 | 3.14 | 11.2 |
| TSM | 3.61 | 1.18 | 3.05 | 1.3 (thin) |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.