Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 11, 10:40 UTC

cut short after 4.5h, published as a partial · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

interim · 4.54h elapsed · started 2026-10-11T05:59:59.121Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    -6.47
    mk+10s bps
    —
    spread bps
    0.46
    fills/hr
    1.1
    strict fills
    5
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    83
    capture $
    -0.324
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $1,411,888
    15% clip cap
    $192149
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    0.46
    mk+10s bps
    0.94
    spread bps
    2.76
    fills/hr
    34.4
    strict fills
    156
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    228
    capture $
    0.716
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $64,404
    15% clip cap
    $281
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.91
    mk+10s bps
    0.83
    spread bps
    3.54
    fills/hr
    29.1
    strict fills
    132
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    153
    capture $
    1.205
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $15,149
    15% clip cap
    $78
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.46
    mk+10s bps
    0.49
    spread bps
    0.30
    fills/hr
    31.7
    strict fills
    144
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    148
    capture $
    0.661
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $697,793
    15% clip cap
    $3297
  • SUI
    capture bps
    -1.31
    mk+10s bps
    -8.06
    spread bps
    3.02
    fills/hr
    14.3
    strict fills
    65
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    516
    capture $
    -0.851
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $17,698
    15% clip cap
    $185
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    1.21
    mk+10s bps
    -2.05
    spread bps
    1.72
    fills/hr
    56.4
    strict fills
    256
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    875
    capture $
    3.107
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $140,073
    15% clip cap
    $372
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.46 | 5 | 0 | 1.1 | 83 | -0.324 | -6.47 | — | 300 | $1,411,888 | $192149 |
| COIN ⏰ | 2.76 | 156 | 2 | 34.4 | 228 | 0.716 | 0.46 | 0.94 | 200 | $64,404 | $281 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 3.54 | 132 | 2 | 29.1 | 153 | 1.205 | 0.91 | 0.83 | 200 | $15,149 | $78 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 0.30 | 144 | 0 | 31.7 | 148 | 0.661 | 0.46 | 0.49 | 0 | $697,793 | $3297 |
| SUI | 3.02 | 65 | 0 | 14.3 | 516 | -0.851 | -1.31 | -8.06 | 300 | $17,698 | $185 |
| NEAR | 1.72 | 256 | 1 | 56.4 | 875 | 3.107 | 1.21 | -2.05 | 300 | $140,073 | $372 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 0 · ORCL 0 · AAPL 0).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 5hyperliquid 0local 0
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 158
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 134
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 144
  • SUI
    binance 58hyperliquid 7local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 255hyperliquid 2local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • SHEIN
    spread bps
    26.67
    ratio
    44.98
    trades/min
    1.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.59
  • CLSK
    spread bps
    66.44
    ratio
    39.21
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.69
  • QBTS
    spread bps
    60.16
    ratio
    29.84
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    2.02
  • RGTI
    spread bps
    69.76
    ratio
    25.31
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    2.76
  • LUNR
    spread bps
    79.53
    ratio
    14.02
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    5.67
  • USO
    spread bps
    7.42
    ratio
    8.66
    trades/min
    0.6 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.86
  • META
    spread bps
    1.67
    ratio
    7.69
    trades/min
    5.9
    vol1s bps
    0.22
  • SLV
    spread bps
    24.63
    ratio
    7.24
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    3.40
  • ASTS
    spread bps
    6.32
    ratio
    6.05
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.05
  • IREN
    spread bps
    3.97
    ratio
    5.61
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.71
  • PONS
    spread bps
    6.23
    ratio
    5.58
    trades/min
    1.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.12
  • AI
    spread bps
    120.41
    ratio
    5.55
    trades/min
    0.3 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    21.69
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SHEIN | 26.67 | 0.59 | 44.98 | 1.1 (thin) |
| CLSK | 66.44 | 1.69 | 39.21 | 0.1 (thin) |
| QBTS | 60.16 | 2.02 | 29.84 | 0.0 (thin) |
| RGTI | 69.76 | 2.76 | 25.31 | 0.0 (thin) |
| LUNR | 79.53 | 5.67 | 14.02 | 0.0 (thin) |
| USO | 7.42 | 0.86 | 8.66 | 0.6 (thin) |
| META | 1.67 | 0.22 | 7.69 | 5.9 |
| SLV | 24.63 | 3.40 | 7.24 | 0.1 (thin) |
| ASTS | 6.32 | 1.05 | 6.05 | 0.1 (thin) |
| IREN | 3.97 | 0.71 | 5.61 | 0.1 (thin) |
| PONS | 6.23 | 1.12 | 5.58 | 1.2 (thin) |
| AI | 120.41 | 21.69 | 5.55 | 0.3 (thin) |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day. Interim — numbers move until the run completes.