Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 10, 23:53 UTC

full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

FINAL · 6.00h elapsed · started 2026-10-10T17:52:54.105Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    -8.30
    mk+10s bps
    —
    spread bps
    0.95
    fills/hr
    1.5
    strict fills
    9
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    108
    capture $
    -0.747
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $1,720,781
    15% clip cap
    $172131
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    0.81
    mk+10s bps
    -0.15
    spread bps
    2.76
    fills/hr
    33.0
    strict fills
    198
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    299
    capture $
    1.604
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $33,417
    15% clip cap
    $152
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.67
    mk+10s bps
    1.15
    spread bps
    2.83
    fills/hr
    22.3
    strict fills
    134
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    158
    capture $
    0.901
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $73,532
    15% clip cap
    $494
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.68
    mk+10s bps
    0.58
    spread bps
    0.59
    fills/hr
    139.6
    strict fills
    838
    marginal
    11
    replaces
    868
    capture $
    5.692
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $847,388
    15% clip cap
    $910
  • SUI
    capture bps
    -1.07
    mk+10s bps
    -7.16
    spread bps
    2.78
    fills/hr
    8.7
    strict fills
    52
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    703
    capture $
    -0.558
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $27,085
    15% clip cap
    $469
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    0.38
    mk+10s bps
    -0.26
    spread bps
    3.21
    fills/hr
    64.1
    strict fills
    385
    marginal
    6
    replaces
    1215
    capture $
    1.452
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $217,171
    15% clip cap
    $508
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.95 | 9 | 0 | 1.5 | 108 | -0.747 | -8.30 | — | 300 | $1,720,781 | $172131 |
| COIN ⏰ | 2.76 | 198 | 1 | 33.0 | 299 | 1.604 | 0.81 | -0.15 | 100 | $33,417 | $152 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 2.83 | 134 | 1 | 22.3 | 158 | 0.901 | 0.67 | 1.15 | 300 | $73,532 | $494 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 0.59 | 838 | 11 | 139.6 | 868 | 5.692 | 0.68 | 0.58 | 100 | $847,388 | $910 |
| SUI | 2.78 | 52 | 1 | 8.7 | 703 | -0.558 | -1.07 | -7.16 | 300 | $27,085 | $469 |
| NEAR | 3.21 | 385 | 6 | 64.1 | 1215 | 1.452 | 0.38 | -0.26 | 300 | $217,171 | $508 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 0 · ORCL 0 · AAPL 0).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 5hyperliquid 0local 4
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 199
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 135
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 849
  • SUI
    binance 50hyperliquid 3local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 391hyperliquid 0local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • RGTI
    spread bps
    70.41
    ratio
    223.00
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.32
  • SHEIN
    spread bps
    45.02
    ratio
    218.02
    trades/min
    2.1
    vol1s bps
    0.21
  • QBTS
    spread bps
    60.19
    ratio
    172.92
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.35
  • SGOV
    spread bps
    3.98
    ratio
    41.82
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.10
  • AI
    spread bps
    197.88
    ratio
    41.32
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.79
  • USO
    spread bps
    18.93
    ratio
    35.23
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.54
  • CLSK
    spread bps
    40.01
    ratio
    28.40
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.41
  • USAR
    spread bps
    7.93
    ratio
    14.61
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.54
  • SOFI
    spread bps
    12.05
    ratio
    12.94
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.93
  • LUNR
    spread bps
    72.69
    ratio
    11.03
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    6.59
  • IREN
    spread bps
    7.07
    ratio
    9.83
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.72
  • META
    spread bps
    1.25
    ratio
    9.79
    trades/min
    4.1
    vol1s bps
    0.13
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGTI | 70.41 | 0.32 | 223.00 | 0.0 (thin) |
| SHEIN | 45.02 | 0.21 | 218.02 | 2.1 |
| QBTS | 60.19 | 0.35 | 172.92 | 0.0 (thin) |
| SGOV | 3.98 | 0.10 | 41.82 | 0.2 (thin) |
| AI | 197.88 | 4.79 | 41.32 | 0.1 (thin) |
| USO | 18.93 | 0.54 | 35.23 | 0.2 (thin) |
| CLSK | 40.01 | 1.41 | 28.40 | 0.1 (thin) |
| USAR | 7.93 | 0.54 | 14.61 | 0.0 (thin) |
| SOFI | 12.05 | 0.93 | 12.94 | 0.0 (thin) |
| LUNR | 72.69 | 6.59 | 11.03 | 0.0 (thin) |
| IREN | 7.07 | 0.72 | 9.83 | 0.1 (thin) |
| META | 1.25 | 0.13 | 9.79 | 4.1 |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.