Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 9, 04:16 UTC

full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

FINAL · 6.00h elapsed · started 2026-10-08T22:16:00.470Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    3.12
    mk+10s bps
    -0.07
    spread bps
    0.59
    fills/hr
    13.8
    strict fills
    83
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    465
    capture $
    2.590
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $2,169,808
    15% clip cap
    $23543
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    0.83
    mk+10s bps
    0.08
    spread bps
    3.98
    fills/hr
    127.6
    strict fills
    766
    marginal
    18
    replaces
    1215
    capture $
    6.347
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $68,935
    15% clip cap
    $81
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.60
    mk+10s bps
    0.32
    spread bps
    5.82
    fills/hr
    78.3
    strict fills
    470
    marginal
    7
    replaces
    765
    capture $
    2.821
    inv now $
    -100
    mkt $/hr
    $241,123
    15% clip cap
    $462
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.41
    mk+10s bps
    0.46
    spread bps
    0.29
    fills/hr
    53.3
    strict fills
    320
    marginal
    3
    replaces
    361
    capture $
    1.318
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $257,389
    15% clip cap
    $724
  • SUI
    capture bps
    1.23
    mk+10s bps
    -2.35
    spread bps
    3.22
    fills/hr
    25.7
    strict fills
    154
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    894
    capture $
    1.887
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $18,375
    15% clip cap
    $107
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    1.31
    mk+10s bps
    -2.60
    spread bps
    4.41
    fills/hr
    402.6
    strict fills
    2417
    marginal
    16
    replaces
    3321
    capture $
    31.676
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $372,068
    15% clip cap
    $139
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.59 | 83 | 0 | 13.8 | 465 | 2.590 | 3.12 | -0.07 | 300 | $2,169,808 | $23543 |
| COIN ⏰ | 3.98 | 766 | 18 | 127.6 | 1215 | 6.347 | 0.83 | 0.08 | 200 | $68,935 | $81 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 5.82 | 470 | 7 | 78.3 | 765 | 2.821 | 0.60 | 0.32 | -100 | $241,123 | $462 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 0.29 | 320 | 3 | 53.3 | 361 | 1.318 | 0.41 | 0.46 | 100 | $257,389 | $724 |
| SUI | 3.22 | 154 | 1 | 25.7 | 894 | 1.887 | 1.23 | -2.35 | 300 | $18,375 | $107 |
| NEAR | 4.41 | 2417 | 16 | 402.6 | 3321 | 31.676 | 1.31 | -2.60 | 300 | $372,068 | $139 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 0 · ORCL 0 · AAPL 0).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 63hyperliquid 4local 16
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 784
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 477
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 323
  • SUI
    binance 153hyperliquid 2local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 2433hyperliquid 0local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • WULF
    spread bps
    82.53
    ratio
    13.32
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    6.20
  • SHEIN
    spread bps
    51.25
    ratio
    12.20
    trades/min
    0.5 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.20
  • QBTS
    spread bps
    59.55
    ratio
    11.53
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    5.17
  • USO
    spread bps
    16.96
    ratio
    9.45
    trades/min
    2.1
    vol1s bps
    1.79
  • LUNR
    spread bps
    61.99
    ratio
    9.19
    trades/min
    0.3 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    6.75
  • CLSK
    spread bps
    29.91
    ratio
    9.03
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    3.31
  • TSM
    spread bps
    3.91
    ratio
    8.18
    trades/min
    1.7
    vol1s bps
    0.48
  • INTC
    spread bps
    4.65
    ratio
    7.97
    trades/min
    2.3
    vol1s bps
    0.58
  • ORCL
    spread bps
    7.34
    ratio
    7.89
    trades/min
    1.9
    vol1s bps
    0.93
  • PLTR
    spread bps
    2.47
    ratio
    7.67
    trades/min
    1.6 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.32
  • RGTI
    spread bps
    84.72
    ratio
    7.45
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    11.37
  • SKHY
    spread bps
    5.25
    ratio
    7.06
    trades/min
    4.2
    vol1s bps
    0.74
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WULF | 82.53 | 6.20 | 13.32 | 0.0 (thin) |
| SHEIN | 51.25 | 4.20 | 12.20 | 0.5 (thin) |
| QBTS | 59.55 | 5.17 | 11.53 | 0.1 (thin) |
| USO | 16.96 | 1.79 | 9.45 | 2.1 |
| LUNR | 61.99 | 6.75 | 9.19 | 0.3 (thin) |
| CLSK | 29.91 | 3.31 | 9.03 | 0.1 (thin) |
| TSM | 3.91 | 0.48 | 8.18 | 1.7 |
| INTC | 4.65 | 0.58 | 7.97 | 2.3 |
| ORCL | 7.34 | 0.93 | 7.89 | 1.9 |
| PLTR | 2.47 | 0.32 | 7.67 | 1.6 (thin) |
| RGTI | 84.72 | 11.37 | 7.45 | 0.1 (thin) |
| SKHY | 5.25 | 0.74 | 7.06 | 4.2 |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.