Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 8, 09:40 UTC

cut short after 2.5h, published as a partial · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

interim · 2.53h elapsed · started 2026-10-08T06:46:52.387Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    1.78
    mk+10s bps
    -0.59
    spread bps
    0.49
    fills/hr
    23.4
    strict fills
    59
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    259
    capture $
    1.048
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $3,358,396
    15% clip cap
    $21561
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    -0.08
    mk+10s bps
    -0.41
    spread bps
    5.63
    fills/hr
    125.5
    strict fills
    317
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    530
    capture $
    -0.258
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $58,310
    15% clip cap
    $70
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.33
    mk+10s bps
    0.19
    spread bps
    4.21
    fills/hr
    44.7
    strict fills
    113
    marginal
    4
    replaces
    279
    capture $
    0.369
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $49,049
    15% clip cap
    $164
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.75
    mk+10s bps
    0.61
    spread bps
    2.67
    fills/hr
    238.0
    strict fills
    601
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    658
    capture $
    4.502
    inv now $
    -100
    mkt $/hr
    $456,084
    15% clip cap
    $287
  • SUI
    capture bps
    0.57
    mk+10s bps
    -1.88
    spread bps
    4.89
    fills/hr
    84.7
    strict fills
    214
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    553
    capture $
    1.223
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $78,418
    15% clip cap
    $139
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    -0.95
    mk+10s bps
    -2.35
    spread bps
    0.96
    fills/hr
    339.0
    strict fills
    856
    marginal
    6
    replaces
    1260
    capture $
    -8.167
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $363,402
    15% clip cap
    $161
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.49 | 59 | 0 | 23.4 | 259 | 1.048 | 1.78 | -0.59 | 300 | $3,358,396 | $21561 |
| COIN ⏰ | 5.63 | 317 | 1 | 125.5 | 530 | -0.258 | -0.08 | -0.41 | 0 | $58,310 | $70 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 4.21 | 113 | 4 | 44.7 | 279 | 0.369 | 0.33 | 0.19 | 300 | $49,049 | $164 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 2.67 | 601 | 2 | 238.0 | 658 | 4.502 | 0.75 | 0.61 | -100 | $456,084 | $287 |
| SUI | 4.89 | 214 | 0 | 84.7 | 553 | 1.223 | 0.57 | -1.88 | 200 | $78,418 | $139 |
| NEAR | 0.96 | 856 | 6 | 339.0 | 1260 | -8.167 | -0.95 | -2.35 | 200 | $363,402 | $161 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 0 · ORCL 0 · AAPL 0).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 47hyperliquid 0local 12
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 318
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 117
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 603
  • SUI
    binance 214hyperliquid 0local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 862hyperliquid 0local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • WULF
    spread bps
    189.37
    ratio
    73.57
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    2.57
  • LUNR
    spread bps
    79.15
    ratio
    17.20
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.60
  • RGTI
    spread bps
    50.16
    ratio
    11.49
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.36
  • CLSK
    spread bps
    59.45
    ratio
    10.68
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    5.56
  • QBTS
    spread bps
    60.00
    ratio
    9.21
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    6.51
  • TSLA
    spread bps
    3.72
    ratio
    7.61
    trades/min
    8.7
    vol1s bps
    0.49
  • AI
    spread bps
    289.99
    ratio
    6.31
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    45.92
  • USAR
    spread bps
    8.37
    ratio
    6.17
    trades/min
    0.4 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.36
  • META
    spread bps
    3.32
    ratio
    5.89
    trades/min
    7.5
    vol1s bps
    0.56
  • BE
    spread bps
    9.44
    ratio
    5.45
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.73
  • AAPL
    spread bps
    1.49
    ratio
    5.15
    trades/min
    17.6
    vol1s bps
    0.29
  • ANSEM
    spread bps
    45.99
    ratio
    5.13
    trades/min
    0.4 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    8.97
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WULF | 189.37 | 2.57 | 73.57 | 0.1 (thin) |
| LUNR | 79.15 | 4.60 | 17.20 | 0.1 (thin) |
| RGTI | 50.16 | 4.36 | 11.49 | 0.0 (thin) |
| CLSK | 59.45 | 5.56 | 10.68 | 0.0 (thin) |
| QBTS | 60.00 | 6.51 | 9.21 | 0.1 (thin) |
| TSLA | 3.72 | 0.49 | 7.61 | 8.7 |
| AI | 289.99 | 45.92 | 6.31 | 0.2 (thin) |
| USAR | 8.37 | 1.36 | 6.17 | 0.4 (thin) |
| META | 3.32 | 0.56 | 5.89 | 7.5 |
| BE | 9.44 | 1.73 | 5.45 | 0.2 (thin) |
| AAPL | 1.49 | 0.29 | 5.15 | 17.6 |
| ANSEM | 45.99 | 8.97 | 5.13 | 0.4 (thin) |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day. Interim — numbers move until the run completes.