Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 4, 08:58 UTC

cut short after 4.0h, published as a partial · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

interim · 4.03h elapsed · started 2026-10-04T04:39:35.089Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    4.22
    mk+10s bps
    -0.58
    spread bps
    1.07
    fills/hr
    5.7
    strict fills
    23
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    112
    capture $
    0.971
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $2,156,867
    15% clip cap
    $56658
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    0.67
    mk+10s bps
    0.34
    spread bps
    2.70
    fills/hr
    48.2
    strict fills
    194
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    279
    capture $
    1.308
    inv now $
    -200
    mkt $/hr
    $39,674
    15% clip cap
    $124
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.44
    mk+10s bps
    -1.12
    spread bps
    2.81
    fills/hr
    7.4
    strict fills
    30
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    70
    capture $
    0.131
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $11,878
    15% clip cap
    $239
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.69
    mk+10s bps
    0.74
    spread bps
    1.20
    fills/hr
    71.3
    strict fills
    287
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    291
    capture $
    1.981
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $407,795
    15% clip cap
    $858
  • SUI
    capture bps
    3.74
    mk+10s bps
    -10.85
    spread bps
    5.10
    fills/hr
    27.3
    strict fills
    110
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    576
    capture $
    4.110
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $30,452
    15% clip cap
    $167
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    -1.08
    mk+10s bps
    -0.84
    spread bps
    4.39
    fills/hr
    21.8
    strict fills
    88
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    642
    capture $
    -0.954
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $49,820
    15% clip cap
    $342
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1.07 | 23 | 0 | 5.7 | 112 | 0.971 | 4.22 | -0.58 | 300 | $2,156,867 | $56658 |
| COIN ⏰ | 2.70 | 194 | 2 | 48.2 | 279 | 1.308 | 0.67 | 0.34 | -200 | $39,674 | $124 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 2.81 | 30 | 2 | 7.4 | 70 | 0.131 | 0.44 | -1.12 | 0 | $11,878 | $239 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 1.20 | 287 | 0 | 71.3 | 291 | 1.981 | 0.69 | 0.74 | 100 | $407,795 | $858 |
| SUI | 5.10 | 110 | 0 | 27.3 | 576 | 4.110 | 3.74 | -10.85 | 0 | $30,452 | $167 |
| NEAR | 4.39 | 88 | 1 | 21.8 | 642 | -0.954 | -1.08 | -0.84 | 300 | $49,820 | $342 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 0 · ORCL 0 · AAPL 0).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 23hyperliquid 0local 0
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 196
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 32
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 287
  • SUI
    binance 101hyperliquid 9local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 89hyperliquid 0local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • RGTI
    spread bps
    80.06
    ratio
    14.96
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    5.35
  • USO
    spread bps
    24.58
    ratio
    13.42
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.83
  • SGOV
    spread bps
    4.98
    ratio
    11.85
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.42
  • LUNR
    spread bps
    53.10
    ratio
    11.48
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.63
  • CRWV
    spread bps
    5.60
    ratio
    9.76
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.57
  • VVV
    spread bps
    6.48
    ratio
    7.26
    trades/min
    3.1
    vol1s bps
    0.89
  • QBTS
    spread bps
    55.92
    ratio
    7.04
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    7.95
  • MU
    spread bps
    3.37
    ratio
    6.12
    trades/min
    2.7
    vol1s bps
    0.55
  • AMZN
    spread bps
    3.56
    ratio
    5.98
    trades/min
    5.5
    vol1s bps
    0.60
  • GOOGL
    spread bps
    1.74
    ratio
    5.65
    trades/min
    4.2
    vol1s bps
    0.31
  • WULF
    spread bps
    72.20
    ratio
    5.50
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    13.14
  • COIN
    spread bps
    3.80
    ratio
    5.20
    trades/min
    4.2
    vol1s bps
    0.73
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RGTI | 80.06 | 5.35 | 14.96 | 0.1 (thin) |
| USO | 24.58 | 1.83 | 13.42 | 0.1 (thin) |
| SGOV | 4.98 | 0.42 | 11.85 | 0.1 (thin) |
| LUNR | 53.10 | 4.63 | 11.48 | 0.0 (thin) |
| CRWV | 5.60 | 0.57 | 9.76 | 0.1 (thin) |
| VVV | 6.48 | 0.89 | 7.26 | 3.1 |
| QBTS | 55.92 | 7.95 | 7.04 | 0.1 (thin) |
| MU | 3.37 | 0.55 | 6.12 | 2.7 |
| AMZN | 3.56 | 0.60 | 5.98 | 5.5 |
| GOOGL | 1.74 | 0.31 | 5.65 | 4.2 |
| WULF | 72.20 | 13.14 | 5.50 | 0.0 (thin) |
| COIN | 3.80 | 0.73 | 5.20 | 4.2 |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day. Interim — numbers move until the run completes.