Quoting study · Oct 1, 16:32 UTC
full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet
Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report
FINAL · 6.00h elapsed · started 2026-10-01T10:32:13.031Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300
NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).
- BTC
- capture bps
- 0.22
- mk+10s bps
- -3.23
- spread bps
- 0.53
- fills/hr
- 174.8
- strict fills
- 1049
- marginal
- 0
- replaces
- 1786
- capture $
- 2.270
- inv now $
- 300
- mkt $/hr
- $6,608,408
- 15% clip cap
- $5671
- COINsession gate
- capture bps
- 1.04
- mk+10s bps
- -1.59
- spread bps
- 4.81
- fills/hr
- 31.0
- strict fills
- 186
- marginal
- 5
- replaces
- 360
- capture $
- 1.925
- inv now $
- 0
- mkt $/hr
- $15,699
- 15% clip cap
- $76
- ORCLsession gate
- capture bps
- 5.95
- mk+10s bps
- -8.56
- spread bps
- 4.31
- fills/hr
- 8.8
- strict fills
- 53
- marginal
- 1
- replaces
- 273
- capture $
- 3.156
- inv now $
- 0
- mkt $/hr
- $7,789
- 15% clip cap
- $132
- AAPLsession gate
- capture bps
- 0.77
- mk+10s bps
- 0.17
- spread bps
- 2.41
- fills/hr
- 149.1
- strict fills
- 895
- marginal
- 8
- replaces
- 1080
- capture $
- 6.905
- inv now $
- 0
- mkt $/hr
- $194,985
- 15% clip cap
- $196
- SUI
- capture bps
- 0.80
- mk+10s bps
- -2.17
- spread bps
- 5.50
- fills/hr
- 56.8
- strict fills
- 341
- marginal
- 0
- replaces
- 1673
- capture $
- 2.723
- inv now $
- 300
- mkt $/hr
- $28,964
- 15% clip cap
- $76
- NEAR
- capture bps
- -0.31
- mk+10s bps
- -2.51
- spread bps
- 5.91
- fills/hr
- 227.1
- strict fills
- 1363
- marginal
- 8
- replaces
- 2817
- capture $
- -4.180
- inv now $
- 100
- mkt $/hr
- $541,501
- 15% clip cap
- $358
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap | |---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---| | BTC | 0.53 | 1049 | 0 | 174.8 | 1786 | 2.270 | 0.22 | -3.23 | 300 | $6,608,408 | $5671 | | COIN ⏰ | 4.81 | 186 | 5 | 31.0 | 360 | 1.925 | 1.04 | -1.59 | 0 | $15,699 | $76 | | ORCL ⏰ | 4.31 | 53 | 1 | 8.8 | 273 | 3.156 | 5.95 | -8.56 | 0 | $7,789 | $132 | | AAPL ⏰ | 2.41 | 895 | 8 | 149.1 | 1080 | 6.905 | 0.77 | 0.17 | 0 | $194,985 | $196 | | SUI | 5.50 | 341 | 0 | 56.8 | 1673 | 2.723 | 0.80 | -2.17 | 300 | $28,964 | $76 | | NEAR | 5.91 | 1363 | 8 | 227.1 | 2817 | -4.180 | -0.31 | -2.51 | 100 | $541,501 | $358 |
⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 1 · ORCL 1 · AAPL 1).
Fair-value source mix (fills by source)
- BTCbinance 1036hyperliquid 0local 13
- COINbinance 0hyperliquid 0local 191
- ORCLbinance 0hyperliquid 0local 54
- AAPLbinance 0hyperliquid 0local 903
- SUIbinance 341hyperliquid 0local 0
- NEARbinance 1371hyperliquid 0local 0
Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)
- WULF
- spread bps
- 203.35
- ratio
- 181.31
- trades/min
- 0.2 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 1.12
- LUNR
- spread bps
- 64.60
- ratio
- 20.90
- trades/min
- 0.1 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 3.09
- QBTS
- spread bps
- 59.83
- ratio
- 13.64
- trades/min
- 0.1 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 4.39
- SOFI
- spread bps
- 19.07
- ratio
- 11.35
- trades/min
- 0.0 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 1.68
- BABA
- spread bps
- 5.56
- ratio
- 11.01
- trades/min
- 0.2 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 0.51
- RGTI
- spread bps
- 67.12
- ratio
- 7.98
- trades/min
- 0.1 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 8.41
- PLTR
- spread bps
- 6.78
- ratio
- 7.87
- trades/min
- 0.9 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 0.86
- CRWV
- spread bps
- 7.90
- ratio
- 7.65
- trades/min
- 5.6
- vol1s bps
- 1.03
- TSM
- spread bps
- 5.01
- ratio
- 7.34
- trades/min
- 1.5 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 0.68
- SGOV
- spread bps
- 3.98
- ratio
- 6.99
- trades/min
- 0.5 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 0.57
- USO
- spread bps
- 14.23
- ratio
- 6.61
- trades/min
- 0.5 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 2.15
- SMCI
- spread bps
- 21.51
- ratio
- 5.02
- trades/min
- 0.1 (thin)
- vol1s bps
- 4.29
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min | |---|---|---|---|---| | WULF | 203.35 | 1.12 | 181.31 | 0.2 (thin) | | LUNR | 64.60 | 3.09 | 20.90 | 0.1 (thin) | | QBTS | 59.83 | 4.39 | 13.64 | 0.1 (thin) | | SOFI | 19.07 | 1.68 | 11.35 | 0.0 (thin) | | BABA | 5.56 | 0.51 | 11.01 | 0.2 (thin) | | RGTI | 67.12 | 8.41 | 7.98 | 0.1 (thin) | | PLTR | 6.78 | 0.86 | 7.87 | 0.9 (thin) | | CRWV | 7.90 | 1.03 | 7.65 | 5.6 | | TSM | 5.01 | 0.68 | 7.34 | 1.5 (thin) | | SGOV | 3.98 | 0.57 | 6.99 | 0.5 (thin) | | USO | 14.23 | 2.15 | 6.61 | 0.5 (thin) | | SMCI | 21.51 | 4.29 | 5.02 | 0.1 (thin) |
Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.