Hyperider

Quoting study · Oct 1, 16:32 UTC

full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

FINAL · 6.00h elapsed · started 2026-10-01T10:32:13.031Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    0.22
    mk+10s bps
    -3.23
    spread bps
    0.53
    fills/hr
    174.8
    strict fills
    1049
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    1786
    capture $
    2.270
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $6,608,408
    15% clip cap
    $5671
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    1.04
    mk+10s bps
    -1.59
    spread bps
    4.81
    fills/hr
    31.0
    strict fills
    186
    marginal
    5
    replaces
    360
    capture $
    1.925
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $15,699
    15% clip cap
    $76
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    5.95
    mk+10s bps
    -8.56
    spread bps
    4.31
    fills/hr
    8.8
    strict fills
    53
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    273
    capture $
    3.156
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $7,789
    15% clip cap
    $132
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.77
    mk+10s bps
    0.17
    spread bps
    2.41
    fills/hr
    149.1
    strict fills
    895
    marginal
    8
    replaces
    1080
    capture $
    6.905
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $194,985
    15% clip cap
    $196
  • SUI
    capture bps
    0.80
    mk+10s bps
    -2.17
    spread bps
    5.50
    fills/hr
    56.8
    strict fills
    341
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    1673
    capture $
    2.723
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $28,964
    15% clip cap
    $76
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    -0.31
    mk+10s bps
    -2.51
    spread bps
    5.91
    fills/hr
    227.1
    strict fills
    1363
    marginal
    8
    replaces
    2817
    capture $
    -4.180
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $541,501
    15% clip cap
    $358
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.53 | 1049 | 0 | 174.8 | 1786 | 2.270 | 0.22 | -3.23 | 300 | $6,608,408 | $5671 |
| COIN ⏰ | 4.81 | 186 | 5 | 31.0 | 360 | 1.925 | 1.04 | -1.59 | 0 | $15,699 | $76 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 4.31 | 53 | 1 | 8.8 | 273 | 3.156 | 5.95 | -8.56 | 0 | $7,789 | $132 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 2.41 | 895 | 8 | 149.1 | 1080 | 6.905 | 0.77 | 0.17 | 0 | $194,985 | $196 |
| SUI | 5.50 | 341 | 0 | 56.8 | 1673 | 2.723 | 0.80 | -2.17 | 300 | $28,964 | $76 |
| NEAR | 5.91 | 1363 | 8 | 227.1 | 2817 | -4.180 | -0.31 | -2.51 | 100 | $541,501 | $358 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 1 · ORCL 1 · AAPL 1).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 1036hyperliquid 0local 13
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 191
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 54
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 903
  • SUI
    binance 341hyperliquid 0local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 1371hyperliquid 0local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • WULF
    spread bps
    203.35
    ratio
    181.31
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.12
  • LUNR
    spread bps
    64.60
    ratio
    20.90
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    3.09
  • QBTS
    spread bps
    59.83
    ratio
    13.64
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.39
  • SOFI
    spread bps
    19.07
    ratio
    11.35
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.68
  • BABA
    spread bps
    5.56
    ratio
    11.01
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.51
  • RGTI
    spread bps
    67.12
    ratio
    7.98
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    8.41
  • PLTR
    spread bps
    6.78
    ratio
    7.87
    trades/min
    0.9 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.86
  • CRWV
    spread bps
    7.90
    ratio
    7.65
    trades/min
    5.6
    vol1s bps
    1.03
  • TSM
    spread bps
    5.01
    ratio
    7.34
    trades/min
    1.5 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.68
  • SGOV
    spread bps
    3.98
    ratio
    6.99
    trades/min
    0.5 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.57
  • USO
    spread bps
    14.23
    ratio
    6.61
    trades/min
    0.5 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    2.15
  • SMCI
    spread bps
    21.51
    ratio
    5.02
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.29
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WULF | 203.35 | 1.12 | 181.31 | 0.2 (thin) |
| LUNR | 64.60 | 3.09 | 20.90 | 0.1 (thin) |
| QBTS | 59.83 | 4.39 | 13.64 | 0.1 (thin) |
| SOFI | 19.07 | 1.68 | 11.35 | 0.0 (thin) |
| BABA | 5.56 | 0.51 | 11.01 | 0.2 (thin) |
| RGTI | 67.12 | 8.41 | 7.98 | 0.1 (thin) |
| PLTR | 6.78 | 0.86 | 7.87 | 0.9 (thin) |
| CRWV | 7.90 | 1.03 | 7.65 | 5.6 |
| TSM | 5.01 | 0.68 | 7.34 | 1.5 (thin) |
| SGOV | 3.98 | 0.57 | 6.99 | 0.5 (thin) |
| USO | 14.23 | 2.15 | 6.61 | 0.5 (thin) |
| SMCI | 21.51 | 4.29 | 5.02 | 0.1 (thin) |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.