Hyperider

Quoting study · Sep 30, 21:52 UTC

full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

FINAL · 6.00h elapsed · started 2026-09-30T15:51:59.349Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    -0.20
    mk+10s bps
    -0.59
    spread bps
    1.47
    fills/hr
    37.8
    strict fills
    227
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    719
    capture $
    -0.448
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $4,297,845
    15% clip cap
    $17049
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    1.29
    mk+10s bps
    1.72
    spread bps
    3.21
    fills/hr
    11.5
    strict fills
    69
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    99
    capture $
    0.893
    inv now $
    -300
    mkt $/hr
    $8,009
    15% clip cap
    $105
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    3.24
    mk+10s bps
    -4.59
    spread bps
    3.65
    fills/hr
    5.2
    strict fills
    31
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    64
    capture $
    1.003
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $7,242
    15% clip cap
    $210
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.78
    mk+10s bps
    0.56
    spread bps
    1.50
    fills/hr
    13.2
    strict fills
    79
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    87
    capture $
    0.620
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $74,304
    15% clip cap
    $847
  • SUI
    capture bps
    -3.89
    mk+10s bps
    -2.74
    spread bps
    4.85
    fills/hr
    49.1
    strict fills
    295
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    1665
    capture $
    -11.476
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $12,532
    15% clip cap
    $38
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    -1.10
    mk+10s bps
    -2.74
    spread bps
    4.36
    fills/hr
    149.8
    strict fills
    899
    marginal
    10
    replaces
    2469
    capture $
    -9.895
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $179,954
    15% clip cap
    $180
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 1.47 | 227 | 0 | 37.8 | 719 | -0.448 | -0.20 | -0.59 | 300 | $4,297,845 | $17049 |
| COIN ⏰ | 3.21 | 69 | 0 | 11.5 | 99 | 0.893 | 1.29 | 1.72 | -300 | $8,009 | $105 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 3.65 | 31 | 1 | 5.2 | 64 | 1.003 | 3.24 | -4.59 | 200 | $7,242 | $210 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 1.50 | 79 | 0 | 13.2 | 87 | 0.620 | 0.78 | 0.56 | 100 | $74,304 | $847 |
| SUI | 4.85 | 295 | 0 | 49.1 | 1665 | -11.476 | -3.89 | -2.74 | 300 | $12,532 | $38 |
| NEAR | 4.36 | 899 | 10 | 149.8 | 2469 | -9.895 | -1.10 | -2.74 | 300 | $179,954 | $180 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 1 · ORCL 1 · AAPL 1).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 224hyperliquid 0local 3
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 69
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 32
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 79
  • SUI
    binance 295hyperliquid 0local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 909hyperliquid 0local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • QBTS
    spread bps
    48.86
    ratio
    11.72
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.17
  • LUNR
    spread bps
    52.09
    ratio
    11.48
    trades/min
    0.3 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.54
  • AI
    spread bps
    73.62
    ratio
    8.58
    trades/min
    1.5 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    8.58
  • SOFI
    spread bps
    15.08
    ratio
    8.12
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.86
  • RGTI
    spread bps
    53.99
    ratio
    6.76
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    7.99
  • SHEIN
    spread bps
    32.60
    ratio
    6.14
    trades/min
    0.6 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    5.31
  • ANSEM
    spread bps
    89.25
    ratio
    5.87
    trades/min
    0.4 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    15.20
  • TSM
    spread bps
    4.33
    ratio
    4.46
    trades/min
    3.9
    vol1s bps
    0.97
  • AMC
    spread bps
    18.90
    ratio
    4.29
    trades/min
    0.9 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.40
  • MSFT
    spread bps
    3.27
    ratio
    4.06
    trades/min
    3.0
    vol1s bps
    0.81
  • AMZN
    spread bps
    3.18
    ratio
    3.81
    trades/min
    4.0
    vol1s bps
    0.83
  • USO
    spread bps
    8.15
    ratio
    3.60
    trades/min
    0.6 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    2.27
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| QBTS | 48.86 | 4.17 | 11.72 | 0.1 (thin) |
| LUNR | 52.09 | 4.54 | 11.48 | 0.3 (thin) |
| AI | 73.62 | 8.58 | 8.58 | 1.5 (thin) |
| SOFI | 15.08 | 1.86 | 8.12 | 0.1 (thin) |
| RGTI | 53.99 | 7.99 | 6.76 | 0.1 (thin) |
| SHEIN | 32.60 | 5.31 | 6.14 | 0.6 (thin) |
| ANSEM | 89.25 | 15.20 | 5.87 | 0.4 (thin) |
| TSM | 4.33 | 0.97 | 4.46 | 3.9 |
| AMC | 18.90 | 4.40 | 4.29 | 0.9 (thin) |
| MSFT | 3.27 | 0.81 | 4.06 | 3.0 |
| AMZN | 3.18 | 0.83 | 3.81 | 4.0 |
| USO | 8.15 | 2.27 | 3.60 | 0.6 (thin) |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.