Hyperider

Quoting study · Sep 30, 09:25 UTC

full 6-hour cycle · published automatically by the fleet

Quote Engine v2 · PAPER report

FINAL · 6.00h elapsed · started 2026-09-30T03:25:36.810Z · clip $100 · halfSpread 1bps · leadMove 1.5bps · maxInv $300

NO ORDERS WERE SENT — simulated quoting against the live RH tape. Strict fills = the tape printed THROUGH our price (certain regardless of queue); marginal = printed AT it (queue-dependent, excluded from capture).

  • BTC
    capture bps
    0.85
    mk+10s bps
    -5.42
    spread bps
    0.95
    fills/hr
    13.8
    strict fills
    83
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    464
    capture $
    0.709
    inv now $
    300
    mkt $/hr
    $2,128,588
    15% clip cap
    $23087
  • COINsession gate
    capture bps
    1.28
    mk+10s bps
    0.16
    spread bps
    0.52
    fills/hr
    63.8
    strict fills
    383
    marginal
    1
    replaces
    807
    capture $
    4.904
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $31,434
    15% clip cap
    $74
  • ORCLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.98
    mk+10s bps
    -5.41
    spread bps
    4.34
    fills/hr
    30.2
    strict fills
    181
    marginal
    2
    replaces
    534
    capture $
    1.766
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $23,419
    15% clip cap
    $116
  • AAPLsession gate
    capture bps
    0.63
    mk+10s bps
    0.71
    spread bps
    1.82
    fills/hr
    143.6
    strict fills
    862
    marginal
    6
    replaces
    959
    capture $
    5.426
    inv now $
    200
    mkt $/hr
    $377,101
    15% clip cap
    $394
  • SUI
    capture bps
    2.11
    mk+10s bps
    -6.07
    spread bps
    0.94
    fills/hr
    36.5
    strict fills
    219
    marginal
    0
    replaces
    1077
    capture $
    4.627
    inv now $
    100
    mkt $/hr
    $22,576
    15% clip cap
    $93
  • NEAR
    capture bps
    0.29
    mk+10s bps
    -2.46
    spread bps
    5.33
    fills/hr
    134.5
    strict fills
    807
    marginal
    5
    replaces
    1763
    capture $
    2.349
    inv now $
    0
    mkt $/hr
    $304,058
    15% clip cap
    $339
raw table
| market | spread bps | strict fills | marginal | fills/hr | replaces | capture $ | capture bps | mk+10s bps | inv now $ | mkt $/hr | 15% clip cap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 0.95 | 83 | 0 | 13.8 | 464 | 0.709 | 0.85 | -5.42 | 300 | $2,128,588 | $23087 |
| COIN ⏰ | 0.52 | 383 | 1 | 63.8 | 807 | 4.904 | 1.28 | 0.16 | 200 | $31,434 | $74 |
| ORCL ⏰ | 4.34 | 181 | 2 | 30.2 | 534 | 1.766 | 0.98 | -5.41 | 100 | $23,419 | $116 |
| AAPL ⏰ | 1.82 | 862 | 6 | 143.6 | 959 | 5.426 | 0.63 | 0.71 | 200 | $377,101 | $394 |
| SUI | 0.94 | 219 | 0 | 36.5 | 1077 | 4.627 | 2.11 | -6.07 | 100 | $22,576 | $93 |
| NEAR | 5.33 | 807 | 5 | 134.5 | 1763 | 2.349 | 0.29 | -2.46 | 0 | $304,058 | $339 |

⏰ = stock-token under the SESSION GATE: quotes only while the underlying is closed (gate 13:00–21:00 UTC Mon–Fri, inventory force-flattened at gate-in; flattens so far: COIN 0 · ORCL 0 · AAPL 0).

Fair-value source mix (fills by source)

  • BTC
    binance 73hyperliquid 0local 10
  • COIN
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 384
  • ORCL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 183
  • AAPL
    binance 0hyperliquid 0local 868
  • SUI
    binance 218hyperliquid 1local 0
  • NEAR
    binance 808hyperliquid 4local 0

Ranking at launch (spread-to-1s-vol)

  • SGOV
    spread bps
    10.94
    ratio
    74.86
    trades/min
    0.0 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.15
  • AMD
    spread bps
    5.10
    ratio
    7.93
    trades/min
    2.8
    vol1s bps
    0.64
  • MSFT
    spread bps
    3.53
    ratio
    6.89
    trades/min
    4.2
    vol1s bps
    0.51
  • BE
    spread bps
    6.15
    ratio
    6.88
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    0.89
  • ANSEM
    spread bps
    63.34
    ratio
    6.73
    trades/min
    0.2 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    9.41
  • USO
    spread bps
    8.31
    ratio
    6.16
    trades/min
    0.3 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.35
  • TSM
    spread bps
    3.96
    ratio
    5.57
    trades/min
    1.7
    vol1s bps
    0.71
  • AI
    spread bps
    72.74
    ratio
    5.34
    trades/min
    1.3 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    13.62
  • AMC
    spread bps
    23.42
    ratio
    5.17
    trades/min
    0.4 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    4.53
  • CRCL
    spread bps
    4.53
    ratio
    5.11
    trades/min
    3.1
    vol1s bps
    0.89
  • IREN
    spread bps
    7.93
    ratio
    5.11
    trades/min
    0.1 (thin)
    vol1s bps
    1.55
  • AMZN
    spread bps
    2.02
    ratio
    4.97
    trades/min
    4.7
    vol1s bps
    0.41
raw table
| market | spread bps | vol1s bps | ratio | trades/min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SGOV | 10.94 | 0.15 | 74.86 | 0.0 (thin) |
| AMD | 5.10 | 0.64 | 7.93 | 2.8 |
| MSFT | 3.53 | 0.51 | 6.89 | 4.2 |
| BE | 6.15 | 0.89 | 6.88 | 0.2 (thin) |
| ANSEM | 63.34 | 9.41 | 6.73 | 0.2 (thin) |
| USO | 8.31 | 1.35 | 6.16 | 0.3 (thin) |
| TSM | 3.96 | 0.71 | 5.57 | 1.7 |
| AI | 72.74 | 13.62 | 5.34 | 1.3 (thin) |
| AMC | 23.42 | 4.53 | 5.17 | 0.4 (thin) |
| CRCL | 4.53 | 0.89 | 5.11 | 3.1 |
| IREN | 7.93 | 1.55 | 5.11 | 0.1 (thin) |
| AMZN | 2.02 | 0.41 | 4.97 | 4.7 |

Verdict inputs: capture bps = mark-to-fair PnL per strict-filled notional; net expected bps ≈ capture + mk+10s (drift after our fills). Deploy only where BOTH are ≥ 0 across a full day.